Financial Markets: 10 Facts The Experts ‘Fail’ To Publicise

1. Financial markets are incredibly complex. They are difficult to interpret and predict. And yet, our understanding of it is grossly over-simplified.

2. Modern day investment theory rests on weak assumptions. According to French mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot, ‘Markets are very, very risky – more risky than the standard theories imagine.’

3. Standard models do not define or measure risk accurately. The need to measure and predict risk has lead to elegant mathematical equations, which in turn have been used to develop fancy economic models.

However, current models take a highly manageable view of financial markets. For example, the theory assumes that price movements from one moment to the next are smooth, when in actual fact price changes in financial markets are erratic. The formula used to measure risk ignore the true state of affairs. As a result, retirement funds are subject to extreme ‘financial turbulence’. This begs the question: has your retirement fund taken a holistic view of the risks inherent in financial markets?

4. Standard theory assumes that markets are rational machines, which are basically ideal markets. It is a world in which buyers balance sellers. The central idea is that financial markets will always generate the ‘right’ prices whenever new information about assets becomes available.

How does this all happen? Well, according to investment theory, people react logically when presented with new information. No emotions attached. This implication is that buyers and sellers are well-reasoned individuals that assimilate all available information to conclude deals at economically ‘correct’ prices. For this to work, it is assumed that people have the same goals and when presented with certain information, they will all make the same decisions. It is also assumed that these decisions are made independently of each other, meaning that prices reflect a market consensus rather than the opinions of a select few.

5. People move financial markets. Think of it this way. Markets incorporate thousands of different needs, ideas, investing strategies, tactics, goals, objectives and emotions. As an individual you have no control over price changes or capital growth.

6. Fundamental and technical analyses use historical data to predict future price movements. The problem: It is impossible to predict what will happen in the future. Moreover, financial markets are inconsistent and most retirement funds are ill-prepared for surprises.

Unless scientists find a way to quantify peoples’ emotions, long term investors will probably have to stick to the one size fits all ‘diversify, invest and hope’ approach.

7. Gloom and doom inspires fear. A friend with a hot tip inspires greed. Following the advice of other people may be harmful to your bottom line. Fundamentally, you need to change the way you invest and conduct business.

8. Market crashes will happen again in future and people will be responsible. When greed gets into the mix, you may have yourself a ticking time bomb. The 2008 sub-prime crisis is testimony to this.

9. The high risk high return strategy needs redefining. It is extremely difficult to predict future returns in financial markets and your expected returns may not materialise. A high risk unknown strategy is more apt.

10. Retirement planning as it is today is an ineffective way of creating wealth. The facts show that only 1% of people will stop working with the same standard of living they had prior to retirement.

Consider the following:

  • Can one really create wealth if you expose your money to a high risk unknown return strategy?
  • Is it a good idea to wait 20 years or more to capitalise on a return that may or may not be there?

Living needs to happen today. This is why a low risk high return strategy is in your best interest.

Getting the Best Legal Advice for Business

Running your own business requires you to pay attention to several important aspects about your business. Paying attention to these aspects might allow you to run your business in more effective and efficient way. One of the most important aspects that you should notice when running your own business is your customers. It’s very important for you to keep your customers satisfied. If it’s necessary, you could use some helps from Consumer Protection Counsel, especially when you need to get legal advice about the customers. By getting the best legal advice, you will be able to solve any legal problems in your business and provide the best services for your customers at the same time.

Sometimes you might need extra cash for your business as well. When you want to expand your business or you want to open new stores, you might need extra cash so that you could get these tasks done. However, if you don’t have enough cash for expanding your business, you might need to find the best financial solution for this situation. Getting a loan could be a perfect solution for you. You could use some help from registered agent who is located in Deerfield Beach if you need business loan. Registered agent could help you in getting the loan that you need for your business without requiring you to waste too much time.

On the other hand, you also might need to get legal advice for your business when your customers sue your business due to your products or services. If you want to get the best legal advice for your business, using paralegal services could be a perfect solution for you. If you want to use legal services for your business, you need to consider the credibility and the reliability of the legal staffs that you’re going to hire. You also need to consider the cost that you need to spend for this legal service as well.

How to Lead Your Team Through a Crisis

The ability to lead becomes incredibly apparent during times of crisis. The 2009 global financial system meltdown is a good case in point. Watching good and bad leaders during times of crisis provides us with lessons on how to act when faced with our own moments of crisis.

As a leader, there are critical attributes that you need to master in order to successfully navigate you’re your team and organization through the turbulence of a crisis into the tranquility of a stable environment.

These attributes are:-

i. Ability to stay calm

Who wants to have a leader who panics in times of crisis? To be an effective leader, you need to learn how to detach yourself from the emotions of the daily ups and downs of life. This is a fundamental characteristic of a strong leader in times of crisis. Consider relinquishing your leadership mantle to someone else if you get struck by bouts of panic during times of crisis

ii. Ability to identify and fix the pressing problem

It is not wise reacting to symptoms of a problem without getting to the problem itself. As a leader, you need to accurately diagnose the root of the problem and fix it. Time is very critical during a crisis. Sometimes there may be need to deal with the symptom because of the present impact. However, you must never cool off and stop at this. You need to dig deep into the root problem and solve it.

It is important to deal as much as possible with facts rather than opinions. When you are trying to project what may happen in the future, consider seeking the opinions of many especially those who have a good track record of understanding how the forces at play are likely to interact.

iii. Ability to consult and seek advice

Conventional wisdom demands that you seek advice especially when a crisis checks in. During this time, unintentional results of your actions can have a more immediate impact. You should draw a line between seeking advice and seeking a consensus. It is advisable that you decide solely rather than jointly. Before making a decision, you need to have the facts about the crisis and the potential aftermath of actions or inactions observed from as many viewpoints as possible.

iv. Ability to think strategically

In time of crisis, thinking about big issues while letting smaller ones look after themselves is absolutely critical. You need to get the right big picture rather than getting the big picture absolutely right. This is the time to make a decision about the right things, of course without forgetting the importance of the executing detail.

v. Ability to be authentic

You can not afford to posture when you are in a crisis. It is time to say what you mean and mean exactly what you say, period. Never let your team take a second guessing what your intentions might be. Clearly say if you are taking a calculated risk or are not sure about the answer. Use clear and simple language as obtuse language has a tendency of leaving people confused besides opening your message to various interpretations.

Be conscious about your body language as well since a feeble look will cast doubt on your level of conviction and ability to see a crisis through.

vi. Ability to communicate

Talk it all to your team. Inform your team about what you know, what you do not know and what you are doing about what you must know. Tell your team about your decisions and why you make them. Reiterate your message as saying it once may at times not be enough. Use all effective mediums as well as different communication styles to ensure that as many people as possible get the correct message.

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